Introduktion:
Professor John J. Mearsheimer, University of Chicago, har vi på sajten uppmärksammat bland annat här . Han har nu i en debatt om hans bok informerat om att för att få en full bild av hans synsätt, bör man även läsa hans artikel Bound to Fail: The Rise and Fall of the Liberal International Order i International Security, 2019 nr. 4., s. 7-50. Genom att artikel är i public domain kan vi återge denna viktiga artikel här
Utdrag ur artikeln:
[…] What about Russia? It is certainly a great power, which is why the emerging world is multipolar, not bipolar. But it will be by far the weakest of the three great powers for the foreseeable future, unless either the U.S. or Chinese economy encounters major long-term problems. The key question regarding Russia is: Which side, if any, will it take in the U.S.-China rivalry? Although Russia is now aligned with China, it is likely to switch sides over time and ally with the United States, simply because an increasingly powerful China is the greater threat to Russia, given their geographical proximity. Should Moscow and Washington forge closer relations because of their mutual fear of China, Russia will be loosely integrated into the U.S.-led bounded order. Should Moscow continue to have friendly relations with Beijing because it fears the United States more than it does China, Russia will be loosely integrated into the China-led bounded order. It is possible that Russia will try not to align itself with either side and remain on the sidelines.